Business Quality Verdict

ELITE / INSTITUTIONAL

Best-in-class structural business quality.

Execution Signal

AVOID / NO EDGE

Action: Do not trade. Wait for structure repair.

Ticker
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Report Version
v5.14
Last Updated
Mar 09, 2026 09:37 AM ET
Freshness
Fresh
Recently updated report.
Source
manual_report
Route: database_loaded
Analyst Snapshot
HOLD
Based on 25 analysts

Analyst consensus is HOLD. Average target price is $198.71, implying +27.69% upside from the current price.

Average Price Target
$198.71
Upside
+27.69%
Analyst Ratings
Buy 9
Hold 12
Sell 4
Detailed Buckets
Strong Buy 0
Buy 9
Hold 12
Sell 4
Strong Sell 0
Target Range
Low $180.00
Median $199.00
High $230.00
Current Price $155.62
Analyst data updated: Mar 09, 2026 09:37 AM ET
Total Freedom Score
50
80+ Elite | 60+ Strong | 40+ Developing
Annual Revenue (TTM)
$5.60

Balance Sheet & Survival

Net Cash Positive
Liquid Cash
$7.20
Total Debt
$0.20
Capital Return
Buybacks Active
Revenue Status Growing
Growth (YoY) +19.11%

Score Components

Balance Sheet15/15

Liquidity + debt load + survival strength.

Revenue Efficiency15/15

Revenue growing faster than costs.

Growth / Valuation10/15

Growth quality relative to valuation, not hype.

Technical Trend0/40

Structure + institutional alignment (200D / 50D).

Business Quality Snapshot

Business Model

Palantir Technologies Inc. develops data analytics software for commercial and government clients.

Durability Signal

  • ✔ Operational strength
  • ✔ Financial strength
  • ✔ Strategic or market strength

🟢 Approved Edge Why This Wins (5-Year View)

Palantir's robust platform and consistent innovation ensure its continued edge in data analytics if execution is sustained.

Competitive Advantage: Strong expertise and client relationships in specialized data analytics.

⏱ Technical Readiness

Timing does not change business quality. It only determines patience.

Trend Now: The stock is currently in a long-term downtrend, trading below its 200 SMA.

Trigger: Look for a sustained move above the 200 SMA with volume support.

Action Plan

01. Add to Watchlist
02. Wait for trend confirmation

Monitoring Risks (Not Dealbreakers)

Monitor the company's adaptation to competitive pressures and any changes in client acquisition or retention rates.

Earnings & Management Commentary

Earnings Highlights
Q4 2025 • Feb 01, 2026
Fresh
Recent earnings cycle.
Revenue
Beat
Actual $1.41B
Estimate $1.34B
Surprise $65.77M
Surprise % +4.90%
EPS
Beat
Actual $0.25
Estimate $0.23
Surprise +$0.02
Surprise % +8.60%
Management Tone
Confident

Palantir reported historic Q4 results with a 70% revenue growth year-over-year, driven by 93% growth in its U.S. business. The company achieved its highest TCV bookings at $4.3 billion and saw significant expansion in customer engagement and AI adoption across industries.

Guidance / Outlook

For full year 2026, Palantir expects revenue of $7.190 billion, reflecting 61% growth year-over-year, with continued strong momentum in both commercial and government sectors.

Key Points
  • • Overall revenue increased 70% YoY, highest growth as a public company.
  • • U.S. revenue surged 93% YoY, significantly driving results.
  • • Rule of 40 score reached 127%, showing strong growth and profitability.
  • • Full-year 2025 revenue grew 56% YoY, underpinned by strong customer demand.
  • • Successful customer expansions, including substantial deals from new clients.
Bullish Catalysts
  • • Rapid AI adoption driving demand for Palantir's software solutions.
  • • High TCV bookings at $4.3 billion indicate strong market interest.
  • • Growing installed base with 954 customers, up 34% YoY.
  • • Significant government contracts, including a $448 million U.S. Navy deal.
  • • Accelerated customer expansions show increasing reliance on Palantir's capabilities.
Risks to Monitor
  • • Macroeconomic pressures could impact future growth rates.
  • • International adoption remains slow compared to U.S. market.
  • • Dependence on key large clients for revenue stability.
  • • Increased competition in the AI software market.
  • • Potential regulatory challenges affecting government contracts.
Earnings data updated: Mar 09, 2026 09:38 AM ET

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Freedom Income Engine™ • Institutional Logic v5.14